Sunday, August 21, 2011

Israel vs Egypt




Ok, so the Title might be a little misleading, but the Truth is, Tensions between Egypt and Israel have been GREATLY increasing n the past couple of days.
ok... so this is what happened... couple of days ago, Israel was attacked by a Group of Militias, whom they claim are Palestinians, even tho Hamas has stated that they weren't their guys, (Israel refuses to believe that their might be non-Palestinian militias in their lands for some reason...), anyway, this group of militias has attacked the City of Eilat, in the Southern Tip of the country, 15 km from Egyptian city of Taba...Israel naturally reacted to this, by attacking them, via air... which led to the immediate death of 2 Egyptian Guards, wounded 3, where one died later on...
As soon as this hit the Arab Media, Egyptians headed simultaneously to the Israeli Embassy, which is located on a Tower overlooking the Nile. Later that night, Egyptians protesting in front of the Embassy, which, to be honest, was a surprise to me to be maintained as peaceful... set 5 demands... which we will talk about later down this blog.

OK, so we have Militias Attacking Israel, Israeli bombing them, and killing 3 Egyptians by mistake, and Egyptians Protesting against Israel...




I personally do NOT think that a War will happen between Egypt and Israel, for the simple reason of that neither sides can afford it.
Egypt with its HUGE Problems, and financial Deficits, Political Crisis, and Economical Crisis, as well as instability, will not be participating in any war within this decade or the next decade at least. on the other hand,     Israel, which is starting to look like a sitting duck in the midst of Arab Uprisings all around it, and loosing Vital USA Allies, and instability in Syria, Palestinian state proposal next month, Egypt's political vagueness, as well as Jordan playing it safe, in addition to Lack of security over the Gaza Border line, which means plenty of weapons have been smuggled into Gaza will NOT be risking a war with ANY party, perhaps a few airsrtikes over Gaza, just to show that the Netenyahu Government is taking some action against someone who killed 8 Israelis in Eilat...

So... Both Sides will not be having any wars, yet why are their still thousands of Egyptians Protesting against Israel and most importantly why are they protesting...?

Obviously the Egyptians are over reacting, yet i believe that this overreaction is a positive overreaction, for the past 3 decades, Israel has found comfort in killing Egyptian Guards, with a puny government refunds for the victim's family, as well as not asking for any apology from Israel. which gave the impression of the low cost of Egyptian lives in the eyes of Israel, this is perhaps the main reason why Egyptians are over reacting, to send a Clear Message to Israel, that this indeed is a new Egypt, a country that depends on 85 million, and not a one man show anymore. With this established, the protesters have called for 5 demands.

1- Closing the Embassy in Cairo - this is not against any agreement, as the Camp David agreement only calls for Diplomatic representations between the two states, which means that both Embassies on both sides can have a decreased diplomatic representation of a simple diplomatic office, for Public Interests.
2- Expel the Ambassador - i believe that this action will indeed be taken if Israel does NOT do fast steps of a clear governmental apology, and not a stupid remark by Ehud Barak (Minister of Israeli Defense) of "i am sorry this has occurred". and i believe this action might be taken as a last resort for the embarrassed military Junta government.
3- the Cease of gas exporting to Israel - which Egypt is not capable of applying according to the Laws of Egypt, the verdict announced recently overtakes the agreement with Israel, Jordan and Syria.
4- the cease of the QIZ agreement between Egypt, Israel and the United States - i personally believe that this agreement is helping with both the Egyptian and Jordanian Economies, tho i do not think that the percentages of products in it is fair, yet i believe that it should be altered and not demolished.
5- Withdrawal of the Egyptian Ambassador in Tel Aviv - i believe that this demand should have been met by the Egyptian Government on the First day, or at least by the time the Protesters have reached the Israeli Embassy.

Even tho these demands will NOT be met, due to the lack of professionalism that the Egyptian government has, and the military council's fear of pushing the country into war, yet i believe that the majority of Egyptians will NOT be satisfied with anything less than these demands, what surprised me most and i believe is the indication that these stands are not related to the killing of these 3 Egyptian soldiers, but rather the dignity, and mutual respect between Egypt from one side, and Israel and the USA from another, is that non of the voices i heard were talking about compensations, or indemnity for the families of the soldiers.


I believe that Israel needs to realize that a new Arab World is forging around it, one that cannot be summed into 
Leaders, but rather into the entire population itself.


Please Dont Forget to Join, and send the Analysis to your Friends if you like it, also please leave your comments,
so we can discuss your opinions as well... Thank you...



7 comments:

  1. The Egyptians that were wounded and killed fired first..
    Its just that the Egyptian media doesn't care to mention it..
    the UN said so CNN NBC.. you should check it out.
    I guess this changes the picture a bit doesnt?
    Egypt fires at Israel, Israel kills them..i dont see whats wrong.

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  2. Plasticos... perhaps you should read about Israel's News... ;) FROM Israel... it is a fact that Israel killed these soldiers, and these soldiers did neither... start fire, or did they answer back, as this attack was simply via air...

    http://www.haaretz.com/news/middle-east/egypt-deems-israel-s-apology-for-policemen-deaths-insufficient-1.379797

    i can also provide plenty of links, but its meaningless, as Haaretz, is the most prominent Israeli News agency, and i doubt it would put lies ;)

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  3. It is really sad to see all the tensions in the Arab countries, And every day there is something new! I wish all this pain will have an end soon.

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  4. I stopped reading at the part were it mentions that "possible Palestinian state in September is a threat to Israel", if you knew two cents of history, you'd know that in 1988 the same thing that will happen this September happened and it's entirely up to Israel whether or not they accept a Palestinian state, the UN will not intervene. Israel is the lord.

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  5. Daniel_Ender.... Thats your opinion, thought it makes absolutely no sense, and i find it complete nonsense and lacks the political and historical knowledge of the conflict's background, yet your entitled to read it ;)

    i was hoping to find a more relevant comment concerning the Egyptian-Israeli crisis, which is the real core of this article.. but people tend to select wt to read i guess :/

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  6. I liked the analysis but I don't understand why nothing new happened since Friday 9-9-2011. Why it seems like it was a play and we watched it and believed it. I feel like there is something else behind the scenes that we can't get it

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